Good news: 4.4M new people who filed for unemployment this week was lower than the week before. Some might argue that’s a positive trend. Bad news: the total number of US people who have filed for unemployment is now 26.5M in just 5 weeks… eliminating all the additional jobs created post 2008. Around 1 in 6 Americans have lost their job.
From mine, it’s the Fed which has juiced the rally so far… less so what we see with “the curve”. To be fair, there are early signs (very early) the infection curve is starting to flatten…
There’s no question this is a historic time in the US economy – especially when it comes to the jobs and income.
For example, wages growth continues to exceed that of inflation. Average hourly earnings rose 3.1% year-over-year in November – versus inflation running at a very low 1.6%.
For approx one week - this tiny "bricks and mortar" gaming retailer dominated just about every financial headline... And it's easy to understand why... When …Read More »
A little known $1B brick and mortar retailer known as "GameStop" is dominating every financial news headline... And for good reason... the retail trader is …Read More »
You could do far worse than listen to Charlie Munger.... For those less familiar, he is Warren Buffett's right-hand man. Here's what he said this …Read More »
November and December have been filled with investor optimism. News of vaccine and fiscal relief have propelled the market to new highs. It's clear skies …Read More »
Dow Theory posits that the stock market is on the upswing when the Dow transportation average and the Dow industrial average make new highs, either …Read More »
Investors were given a reminder this week on just where the consumer is. Retail sales dropped 1.1% last month, with receipts declining almost across the …Read More »
Core PCE Inflation at 2.0% to 2.50% is something that Fed aggressively targets. However, for a decade it's been stubbornly below its objective. And until …Read More »
Two things worth watching this week: (1) possible "bridging" deal (partial stimulus) from Congress; and (2) sentiment from the Fed's last meeting for the year. …Read More »
Major investment banks are bullish on 2021... very bullish. This comes as global markets achieved $100 Trillion in market cap. Thanks central banks! Without "free …Read More »
The November jobs report was far worse than expected. The U.S. economy added only 245,000 jobs in November -- well below the 500,000 that many …Read More »
It's exceptionally rare to see double-digit broad market returns in any one month. In fact, we have only seen seven the since 1992... with one …Read More »
"Black Friday" is generally regarded as one of the largest U.S. shopping days of the year... It's also the start of the Christmas holiday season …Read More »
The market's can't put a foot wrong... Hot on the news of Pfizer's and Moderna's vaccines - today it was AstraZeneca's turn. The COVID-19 cavalry …Read More »