US 10-Year Treasury - Trade the Tape

CoronaVirus Not the Entire Reason Stocks are Correcting

by Adrian Tout | Feb 26, 2020 | Credit, Economy, Interest Rates, S&P 500, US 10-Year Treasury

Stocks are correcting. The 10%-type correction we penciled in at the beginning of the year is now taking shape. Now for most readers, the move lower will bring a wry smile….

Treasury Yields Tank as Gold Climbs

by Adrian Tout | Feb 20, 2020 | Gold, US 10-Year Treasury, Yield Curve

After 20+ years trading – its difficult to recall a time that resembles what we see today. Put another way – it’s not often you see equities and bonds at complete odds.

What is the Copper/Gold Ratio Telling Us?

by Adrian Tout | Feb 8, 2020 | Copper, Copper/Gold Ratio, Gold, US 10-Year Treasury

The ratio of copper to gold can serve as another indicator of the market’s appetite for risk appetite versus the perceived safety of say treasuries. So what’s the ratio telling us today?

Coronavirus Spooks… But it Could Lead to Opportunity

by Adrian Tout | Jan 26, 2020 | ETFs, Trader's Corner, US 10-Year Treasury

This post summarises what I’m watching as we head into a big week of earnings…

Worried about 2020 Returns? Consider these ETF’s for Income

by Adrian Tout | Jan 12, 2020 | ETFs, S&P 500, US 10-Year Treasury

Looking at 5 leading high-dividend ETFs for investors to consider as part of their portfolio allocation.

2020: Expect More Gains

by Adrian Tout | Dec 31, 2019 | Economy, Gold, S&P 500, US 10-Year Treasury, VIX

Here’s what I think is ahead for 2020 and equity markets. In short, expect a solid year with a correction in the first half.

Charts in Focus: S&P 500, Gold & 10-Yr Treasury

by Adrian Tout | Dec 21, 2019 | Charts in Focus, Gold, S&P 500, US 10-Year Treasury

A technical review for the S&P 500, Gold and US 10-Year Treasury Yields in the weekly timeframe.

In summary, the S&P 500 looks overbought where traders should consider taking profits.

Gold is approaching a key buy-zone.

And expect resistance with 10-year treasuries around 2.1%

Record Outflows from Leading Treasury ETF

by Adrian Tout | Nov 12, 2019 | Bonds & Rates, Trader's Corner, US 10-Year Treasury

Over the past 3 months – the heavily traded (owned) TLT ETF has seen strong outflows.

The price has dropped from a high of ~$148 to trade around $135 at the time of writing — the fund posted its worst week of outflows – with traders yanking more than $1.2 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

One Chart Giving the Fed Licence to Cut

by Adrian Tout | Sep 17, 2019 | Bonds & Rates, Federal Reserve, US 10-Year Treasury

The bond market’s performance is generally viewed as an indicator of economic conditions.

More accurately – bonds reflect investor expectations of economic conditions up to 12 months out.

The reason for this is market participants anticipate the future in making investment decisions, so at any point market prices reflect, or “discount” the consensus expectation of what’s to come.